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币安币 BINANCE COIN ($BNB) 分析和估值

Kyle Samani
Spencer Applebaum
2019年2月19日 | 5 Minute Read

您的利润是我的机会。 -Jeff Bezos,Amazon 创始人兼 CEO Binance 最好地体现了 Bezos 这句名言。这个行业领先的交易所收取业内最低的费用,以此作为战略和竞 争优势。与 Amazon 相似,Binance 的战略是利用低价来建立强大的网络,通过规模产生利润。如今, Binance 是交易量最大的交易所,前 50 位代币的 82%1 以及现货交易量的 36.6% 都在 Binance2 上进行。

交易所是少数有强大网络效应的企业之一。流动性会吸引更多流动性。因为这个缘故,大多数国家都只有 一个占主导地位的股票交易所,因为这是符合自然规律的市场平衡机制。由于加密货币交易的全球化性质, 自然会有一种趋向一个交易加密货币的主导性全球交易所的压力。随着市场的成熟,某位早期占据市场的 积极进取的参与者的地位将变得更加牢固。

到目前为止,Binance 是最积极进取的加密货币交易所。在过去的 18 个月,它取得了爆炸式的增长,成 为占主导地位的全球加密货币交易所,并且增长势头不减。而且,他们还推出了野心勃勃的新增长计划, 以期强化其网络效应。其中两个最重要的计划是:1) 推出法定货币支持 — 2019 年将在五大洲的 10 个 国家推出(直至最近,Binance 不支持任何法定货币对),2) 发布 Binance DEX,这是新推出的一个强 大的去中心化交易所 (DEX),预期在 2019 年上半年推出后很快就会成为点主导地位的 DEX。Binance 的领导地位为他们带来了巨大的机会,并将迅速抢先占据市场。

Binance 是一家流动性企业,并利用此优势来执行监管仲裁策略,即搬到监管最友好的司法辖区。公司 历史上曾五次更改司法辖区,开始是在香港,后来是新加坡、日本、台湾、开曼群岛,最终落在马耳他。 Binance 的基地在马耳他,在全球各地设立了枢纽,在 10 个不同的司法辖区被 10 种法定货币-加密货 币交易所锚定,使企业可以灵活适应指定的监管机构。

这足以说明,我们一直在紧密地跟随 Binance 和 Binance Chain 上升。Binance Chain 提供一种无限去中 心化交易所,允许世界上的任何人在任何地方

1 Binance 的集中交易所在其同行(Coinbase Pro、Bitfinex、Kraken、Bittrex、Poloniex)中的交易对交易量是最高 的,根据 CoinMarketCap.com 市场统计数据,前 50 位资产中有 41 种在 messari.io上。 2 经过调整,剔除虚假交易 — 数据来源:https://www.blockchaintransparency.org/december-2018-rankings/

交易任何代币。如果成功,这样一种交易所对整个加密货币生态系统是极有意义的。

Binance 了解,区块链的力量可以为经济活动实现新的革命性的模式。因此,他们在宣布推出 Binance

DEX 时,曾宣布“Binance 将从一家公司转变成一个社区”。我们预期 Binance DEX 创造的价值将包含在

BNB 代币中,而不是 Binance 股权中 — 从而让用户能毫无障碍地直接参与平台的经济活动。我们相信,

Binance 将成为第一家赢利性公司,从集中开始,达成有意义的规模,最终将自身去中心化而成为首家 互联网主权组织,成为最大的去中心化自治社团 (DAC)。

由于 Binance 的费用行业最低、触及范围全球最广并且交易量最大,我们相信在迈向全球主导性加密货 币交易所的路上,它是领跑者。我们也相信,Binance 的代币 BNB 的价值被极大地低估了,主要原因 是作为一项新资产,许多投资者尚未充分领会其特性。

2018 年,Binance 通过购买后销毁机制(模拟股票回购)为 BNB 投资者带来了 $8800 万的回报。 BNB 代币当前的完全稀释估值为 $19 亿,即收益率为 4.6%。但是,必须注意的是,BNB 不是典型 公司中的典型股份,存在实质性的差异,这在我们的报告中有介绍。

BNB 的价值并不仅受 Binance 回报给投资者的现金驱动。BNB 具有巨大的效用,被用作:

押注代币 — 持有大量 BNB 的用户可依据设定的价目表获得交易费用折扣 折扣代币 — 使用 BNB 支付交易费用的用户可获得折扣 支付代币 — Binance Chain 上的所有交易费用必须用 BNB 支付 总之,在评估 BNB 价值时,所有这些因素都必须考虑。在我们的全面分析中,我们探讨了 Binance 的商业战略、DEX 市场及其竞争,并提出了一个 BNB 估值框架。

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